"Drink some wine and cope"...and say goodbye to the strangest draft szn ever.
1. Jacksonville Jaguars - Trevor Lawrence, QB | Clemson
Tarzan checks all the boxes, with arm talent, stature, athleticism and intangibles, but I think there's more inconsistency to his game than a typical #1 overall QB. I'm not buying that best prospect since Luck talk just yet, but a more precise Kaepernick would be more than a handful.
NFL Comp. big school Colin Kaepernick
2. New York Jets - Zach Wilson, QB | BYU
Wilson's grind and arm talent to place the ball anywhere, anytime, are arguably the best of this class. ...what's not working as well is the basketball play style, the little boy physique and the ensuing durability concerns.
NFL Comp. mid west Aaron Rodgers
3. San Francisco 49ers - Mac Jones, QB | Alabama
Since December I've thought Mac Jones was a perfect fit for San Francisco. In part, because Shanahan is an egomaniac. He has a great scheme and is an expert play caller. His offense creates chunk play opportunities down the field and he wants a sniper that just won't miss. ..or get hurt running around.
And also because Jones can really play. He's a quick field processor, and a machine like, in stride and down field passer. He's shown what he can do with NFL talent around him. He doesn't have the upside of Lance or Fields but his projection's less volatile. And that trade suggests you'll probably want the highest floor guy available.
NFL Comp. Kurt Cousins
4. TRADE Chicago Bears (ATL) - Justin Fields, QB | Ohio State
The Bears actually made a plausible push for Russell Wilson this off-season..so obviously they're ready to risk it all.
The projected trade here has them using their 21' #20 pick and #52 pick, and a 22' 1st & 3rd rounder for the Falcons #4 pick. ...as well as a fist bump agreement on a Julio for Khalil trade after June 1st.
Dalton's still QB #1 for 2021 however because Fields really needs that ease in time. At this point he's not much more than a smaller Cam Newton.
NFL Comp. Cam Newton
5. Cincinnati Bengals - Kyle Pitts, TE | Florida
"Penei for your thoughts" is such a good slogan it feels wrong to not make it happen. And the Chase/Burrow reunion thing would make a great story. But...this OL & WR class is stacked. You might find a blue chip OL or big talent WR in the 2nd or later; but you won't come anywhere close to finding a unicorn like TE Pitts later or even years down the road for that matter.
NFL Comp. George Kittle
6. Miami Dolphins - Penei Sewell, OT | Oregon
Dolphins might just have drafted the 4th best QB out of the 2020 class at #5 last season...but... they're all in nevertheless....they almost have to be. That said, there's not another organization in the league that has shown as much of a proclivity to jettison or shelve talent seemingly based on prerogative.
Conventionally, adding a star OL like Sewell to a potentially good 2020 OL group, rather than a WR hood ornament, is the safest and surest way to go. In particular if they want to take some of the pressure off Tua, literally and figuratively.
NFL Comp. sloppy Jason Peters
7. TRADE New England Patriots (DET)- Trey Lance, QB | North Dakota St
Bill hit the bottom of the well last season and has been aggressively, some would say desperately, trying to replenish. The draft shouldn't be any different.
Here the projected trade sends this year's #15, #46 and #121 and a 22' 1st rounder for the Lions' #7. Lance excelled in a similar system oriented powerhouse of a collegiate franchise at North Dakota State and could be well suited to buy into the Belichick way at Foxboro.
NFL Comp. rugged Ryan Tannehill
8. Carolina Panthers - Rashawn Slater, OT | Northwestern
With Deshaun Watson in the wind, the Panthers settled for Darnold and will now try to create the environment he never had in Jersey.
Darnold was never as bad as he's appeared and should flourish in Carolina. Slater's arguably the most athletic left side protector in this class and should hit the ground running.
NFL Comp. thick Jordan Gross
9. Denver Broncos - Patrick Surtian, CB | Alabama
Broncos loaded up on offense last year and should look to the other side early this year. QB remains a looming question but unless they get up into the #4 spot, I'm not convinced the new GM will reach for the #5 guy unless he falls into their lap.
NFL Comp. Tre'Davious White
10. Dallas Cowboys- Jaycee Horn, CB | South Carolina
DC Dan Quinn's defense relies more heavily on man CB play than Mike Nolan's. Horn leans a lot on pushing the line of pass interference, but he has as much all pro upside as any guy in this class. He's a potential upgrade from day 1 for the Cowboys at their most needed position.
NFL Comp. longer Greedy Williams
11. New York Giants - Micah Parsons, LB | Penn State
Parson's speed and quickness up and around the front seven is unmatched in this class. His presence should put a fire up a defense that was already starting to warm up last season.
NFL Comp. faster Jamie Collins
12. Philadelphia Eagles - JaMarr Chase, WR | LSU
Best case scenario here for the Eagles is where the QB run pushes the rest of the talent down the board. Most feel the Eagles camp were spying a guy like Chase at #6 anyhow.
NFL Comp. 4.4 Hakeem Nicks
13. Los Angeles Chargers - Christian Darrisaw, OT | Virginia Tech
Chargers can go a number of directions in the middle of round 1 but their offensive line. and particularly LT, is still clearly a need. Fortunately it's a strong class and Darrisaw is near the top.
NFL Comp. Billy Turner
14. Minnesota Vikings - Alijah Vera-Tucker, OT | USC
Vera-Tucker is far and away the best interior blocker in this class imo and he should greatly improve the ability to bully upfront. He's versatile enough to say at LT in this offense as well.
NFL Comp. Logan Mankins
15. Detroit Lions - DeVonta Smith, WR | Alabama
Not exactly the knee cap breaker type at 166lbs but Smith's "size of the fight" might be the best pound for pound in this whole class. If GM Holmes could pull off a lucrative trade down and still land DeVonta Smith he'd be the day 1 winner for sure.
NFL Comp. 6'0 Emmanuel Sanders
16. Arizona Cardinals - Zaven Collins, LB | Tulsa
Collins had a breakout season in Tulsa and carries a dearth of upside. Size, speed and anticipation outweigh his lack of precision and could make him a top 20 talent.
NFL Comp. scaled up Shaq Thompson
17. Las Vegas Raiders - Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah, LB | Notre Dame
Raiders defense was a mess last season and it needs upgrades all around. JOK's arguably the most explosive athlete in this defensive class and does have a Ryan Shazier vibe to his play. That said, he's more of a tweener than Shazier and, for me, a little more Michigan Jabrill Peppers.
NFL Comp. 6'1 Jabrill Peppers
18. Miami Dolphins - Jaylen Waddle, WR | Alabama
Coming out of the 1st round with two guys that you would've conceivably taken at # 3 is definitely a win for GM Grier. Waddle's the most electric playmaker in this class. His combination of breakneck speed and high point ball skills is Tyreek-esque.
NFL Comp. Tyreek Hill
19. Washington - Elijah Moore, WR | Ole Miss
Elijah Moore punches way above his weight and is a clutch, physical playmaker out wide, in the slot and even out of the back field. He's basically Hollywood Brown hit with gamma rays.
NFL Comp. Derrick Mason
20. Atlanta Falcons - Creed Humphrey, OC | Oklahoma
There's been an center taken in the 1st round in 5 out of the last 6 years. Humphrey is the kind of plug and play guy that goes higher than expected. It's not sexy, but starting off a trade haul with high floor types makes a lot of sense.
NFL Comp. Eric Wood
21. Indianapolis Colts - Terrace Marshall Jr, WR | LSU
Marshall's a hands, length and speed guy that profiles like a #1 WR. The Colts will surely want to stock QB friendly playmakers around Wentz and Marshall's clutch ball skills and impressive catch radius are among the best in this class.
NFL Comp. slower D.J. Chark
22. Tennessee Titans - Caleb Farley, CB | Virginia Tech
Titans defense was a catastrophe for much of the year and they'll likely take the highest ranked defender on the board. Farley's injury concerns might drop him into their laps. Farley's length, speed, and fluidity are elite CB #1 traits and it really all hinges on his long term health.
NFL Comp. Dominque Rodgers Cromartie
23. New York Jets - Jaelan Phillips, DE/ED | Miami
Phillips would likely be a top ten pick this year if not for the cloud involving his medical and character. He's an edge prototype with the ability to disrupt the run and the pass equally. He's a serious high end boom/bust for the squad that takes the hurdle.
NFL Comp. red flags Connor Barwin
24. Pittsburgh Steelers - Dillon Radnunz, OT | North Dakota St
The Steelers will want to re-identify what kind of team they'll be as they start to transition out of the Big Ben era. A starting RB is needed but the positional value inside this class doesn't really justify a 1st rounder. But a blue chip LT is a good way to reload.
NFL Comp. Nate Solder
25. Jacksonville Jaguars - Kwity Paye, DE | Michigan
Paye is a solid if not spectacular performer that upped his game in all areas in 2020. He's a compact, power athlete that plays more like a 5 technique than an edge. I think he could find a fit there in an attacking odd front.
NFL Comp. Oliver Vernon
26. Cleveland Browns - Rondale Moore, WR | Purdue
While most peg the Browns for a front 7 prospect here, I think the need for an explosive playmaker that can stretch the field and draw attention from the run game is just as relevant.
Given the overall weakness of the edge and IL class, I think finding a WR out of another loaded class this year makes better sense.
Moore is a unicorn of a playmaking talent that can line up everywhere, including the backfield, and reel off chunk plays.
NFL Comp. short armed Steve Smith
27. Baltimore Ravens - Azeez Ojulari, LB/ED | Georgia
Ojulari might have the most upside of any edge in this class but med red flags might put a cap on his long term viability.
NFL Comp. Albert McClellan
28. New Orleans Saints - Jabril Cox, LB | LSU
Cox is an under the radar guy that projects as the best cover backer out of this class. He's basically a 6'4 235 lb safety that's adept in coverage. If a team feels good about him gradually adding strength and grit, he'll go much higher than expected.
NFL Comp. soft Jordan Hicks
29. Green Bay Packers - Kadarius Toney, WR | Florida
Constantly punching above his weight and dancing around and through defenders, Toney is one of the most explosive playmakers in this class. He might never become a reliable, high volume WR but his presence will be a threat to defenses. A collab recording session with Rodgers is just a perk.
NFL Comp. slippery Patrick Crayton
30. Buffalo Bills - Jayson Oweh, DE/ED | Penn State
This Bills regime has a history of taking raw, uber physical talents high and trusting in their development. Oweh is a freak with a motor that needs all kinds of work.
NFL Comp. Tanoh Kpassagnon
31. Baltimore Ravens - Tevin Jenkins, OT | Oklahoma St
Jenkins may be more of an interior guy than outside blocker but still projects as a rock solid blue chip that's ready to play right out the gate.
NFL Comp. Zane Beadles
32. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Christian Barmore, DT | Alabama
Barmore isn't the most complete defensive lineman yet but he can sure enough bring pass pressure consistently when healthy.